Alianza FC vs San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
12º
5º
6
3º
11º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
18 | 31 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 29 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 28 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 28 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 26 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 23 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 21 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 19 |
8º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 16 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 15 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 14 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 14 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
3% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
25.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
UME
3 - 1
AFC
32%
29%
40%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
IND
33%
28%
40%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 2
AFC
43%
27%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
AZU
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
ARA
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
SFF
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SFF
0 - 1
SMI
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
TAU
1 - 1
SFF
41%
29%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SFF
0 - 0
ARA
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
SFF
1 - 2
CHO
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |