Alianza FC vs San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 1
GEM
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ARA
3 - 1
AFC
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 2
TAU
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
SMI
1 - 0
AFC
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
AFC
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SFF
1 - 1
AMA
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
COL
0 - 2
SFF
16%
21%
63%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 0
SFF
42%
29%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SFF
3 - 0
VER
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SFF
1 - 0
NAC
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |