Alianza FC vs San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHE
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 0
AFC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 4
ARA
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 1
AFC
42%
29%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
TAU
1 - 0
AFC
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 1
SFF
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
SFF
2 - 2
RIO
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SFF
0 - 0
CHO
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
SFF
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SFF
3 - 0
CHE
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |