Alianza FC vs San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 0
AFC
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SMI
1 - 3
AFC
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 2
CHI
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
RIO
46%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 0
AFC
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SFF
1 - 2
SMI
52%
26%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
SFF
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
SFF
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SFF
2 - 0
TAU
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
SFF
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |