Alianza FC vs Río Abajo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 0
AFC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
AFC
3 - 0
TAU
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SFF
1 - 1
AFC
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 0
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHO
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Río Abajo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
TAU
1 - 2
RIO
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 2
CHI
54%
26%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SMI
1 - 2
RIO
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 0
AMA
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 1
ARA
37%
30%
34%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |