Alianza FC vs Plaza Amador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SFF
4 - 1
AFC
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 1
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 1
AFC
53%
26%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 1
ARA
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
AFC
64%
23%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Amador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 1
SMI
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
TAU
2 - 2
AMA
44%
29%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
SFF
1 - 1
AMA
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 1
CHI
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 0
AMA
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |