Alianza FC vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
12º
7º
18
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
18 | 29 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 27 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 26 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 26 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 24 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 23 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
|
5º
|
15 | 23 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 20 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 18 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 17 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 15 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 15 |
12º
|
33% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
7% | 50% |
|
Play-offs
|
17% | 29% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 21% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 2
AFC
43%
27%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
AZU
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
ARA
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TAU
0 - 0
AFC
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 0
COS
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
IND
0 - 0
SMI
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 2
IND
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 2
IND
20%
24%
56%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
CHO
52%
24%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
UME
0 - 0
IND
23%
25%
53%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |