Alianza FC vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
46.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 1
AFC
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 0
AFC
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 0
AFC
44%
30%
26%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 1
TAU
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 0
AFC
58%
24%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SMI
1 - 3
IND
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
COS
58%
25%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 1
IND
20%
26%
54%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
IND
0 - 2
CHO
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SFF
0 - 1
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |