Alianza FC vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
44.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
GEM
0 - 4
AFC
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 2
TAU
24%
27%
50%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CHO
3 - 0
AFC
53%
27%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 1
ARA
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 1
AFC
51%
27%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
ARS
1 - 3
IND
4%
10%
86%
|
68 | 9 | 59 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2019 |
IND
0 - 2
ARA
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 0
IND
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
IND
2 - 2
SFF
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
IND
2 - 0
GEM
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |