Alianza FC vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
SPB
2 - 6
AFC
6%
13%
82%
|
62 | 8 | 54 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
AMA
1 - 1
AFC
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
AFC
0 - 1
TAU
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 0
AFC
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
GEM
2 - 0
AFC
43%
29%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
SFF
46%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
TAU
1 - 3
IND
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
SMI
54%
24%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
IND
1 - 2
AMA
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
GEM
0 - 2
IND
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |