Alianza FC vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 2
TAU
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
SMI
3 - 1
AFC
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 1
AMA
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
SFF
1 - 1
AFC
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHI
46%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
IND
3 - 4
SMI
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 1
IND
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
SFF
29%
28%
44%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
IND
43%
29%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
CHE
46%
29%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |