Alianza FC vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
TAU
0 - 4
AFC
56%
26%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
SMI
0 - 0
AFC
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 3
AMA
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SFF
4 - 1
AFC
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 1
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
IND
0 - 2
SMI
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
4 - 2
IND
61%
24%
16%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
IND
0 - 1
SFF
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
IND
47%
28%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
CHE
36%
29%
34%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |