Alianza FC vs Potros del Este analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
27.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
10º
10º
20
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 0
SMI
37%
30%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AMA
3 - 1
AFC
47%
29%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 2
ARA
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TAU
0 - 1
AFC
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
1 - 1
AFC
45%
29%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Potros del Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
COS
0 - 2
ARA
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
TAU
2 - 0
COS
52%
27%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
COS
1 - 2
AMA
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
SMI
2 - 1
COS
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SMI
3 - 2
COS
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |