Alianza FC vs Colón C-3 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AFC
5 - 3
CHE
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SMI
2 - 0
AFC
61%
22%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 0
AMA
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 2
AFC
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 1
ARA
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
COL
0 - 1
SMI
24%
28%
48%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
AMA
2 - 1
COL
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
COL
1 - 2
CHO
25%
29%
46%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 0
COL
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
COL
0 - 4
TAU
17%
24%
59%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |