Alianza FC vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
7º
7º
16
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AZU
1 - 2
AFC
43%
28%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
ARA
41%
30%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
SMI
2 - 3
AFC
53%
26%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 2
AMA
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
COS
1 - 1
AFC
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 3
COS
39%
27%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 1
CHO
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 0
UME
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
AZU
3 - 3
CHO
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SFF
1 - 1
CHO
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |