Alianza FC vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
24.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
8º
5º
21
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 1
AZU
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SFF
2 - 2
AFC
33%
30%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 2
AFC
25%
29%
47%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TAU
2 - 0
AFC
54%
27%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
SMI
4 - 0
CHO
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 2
COS
38%
28%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 0
ARA
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TAU
1 - 1
CHO
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 0
SFF
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |