Alianza FC vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 1
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 0
AMA
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
TAU
0 - 0
AFC
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 2
ARA
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
COS
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SMI
1 - 0
CHO
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
AZU
1 - 2
CHO
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 3
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
CHO
28%
28%
45%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SFF
0 - 1
CHO
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |