Alianza FC vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 2
AFC
31%
28%
40%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
AFC
5 - 2
ARA
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
COS
1 - 1
AFC
51%
26%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 0
SMI
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
SFF
0 - 0
AFC
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 4
SMI
45%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 4
TAU
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
IND
4 - 0
CHO
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CHO
0 - 1
SFF
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
COS
3 - 0
CHO
37%
28%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |