Alianza FC vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
TAU
2 - 0
AFC
50%
27%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHI
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
SMI
2 - 1
AFC
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
AFC
3 - 0
CHO
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
AFC
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 0
NAC
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 1
TAU
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
CHO
29%
29%
43%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
AFC
3 - 0
CHO
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 2
SMI
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |