Alianza FC vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
42.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
AFC
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 2
TAU
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 4
SMI
41%
28%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 0
AFC
61%
24%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 3
SFF
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CHO
3 - 0
SMI
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 0
CHO
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
LDA
1 - 0
CHO
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 3
SFF
46%
28%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 0
CAZ
22%
26%
52%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |