Alianza FC vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SMI
2 - 2
AFC
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 0
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 1
SFF
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHE
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 0
AFC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
IND
1 - 3
CHO
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 0
CHE
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 3
CHO
45%
29%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TAU
0 - 3
CHO
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CHO
3 - 0
SMI
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |