Alianza FC vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 0
AFC
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 1
AMA
67%
20%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
SMI
4 - 1
AFC
38%
26%
37%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 0
VER
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
AFC
0 - 0
CHO
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 0
TAU
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 0
CHO
31%
29%
40%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
CHO
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 0
AMA
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
AFC
0 - 0
CHO
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |