Alianza FC vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2010 |
AFC
2 - 1
CHE
77%
16%
8%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
TAU
1 - 0
AFC
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2010 |
SMI
0 - 2
AFC
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 1
VER
80%
14%
7%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
AFC
3 - 3
CHI
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 1
CHO
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
CHO
1 - 2
AMA
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2010 |
CHO
3 - 2
SFF
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHO
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
AMA
0 - 0
CHO
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |