Alianza FC vs Chepo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SFF
1 - 3
AFC
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 1
AMA
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 0
SMI
37%
27%
35%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
AFC
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
3 - 1
AFC
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chepo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 1
SMI
46%
28%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
CHE
36%
29%
36%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CHE
3 - 3
RIO
61%
24%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
TAU
2 - 0
CHE
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 1
COL
67%
22%
11%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |