Alianza FC vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
24.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SMI
1 - 0
AFC
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
COS
1 - 2
AFC
41%
30%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 1
TAU
35%
29%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
AFC
35%
30%
35%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
IND
1 - 2
AFC
48%
28%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
AMA
31%
30%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
SMI
1 - 0
ARA
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 1
COS
33%
30%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 0
AZU
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 0
SUN
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |