Alianza FC vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
COS
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
SMI
1 - 2
AFC
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
DCU
1 - 0
AFC
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 0
AMA
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
TAU
0 - 0
AFC
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 1
TAU
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
COS
0 - 0
ARA
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 2
SMI
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
AMA
2 - 0
ARA
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 0
ARA
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |