Alianza FC vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SMI
1 - 0
AFC
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
AFC
2 - 1
SFF
23%
27%
50%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 2
TAU
25%
27%
49%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
AFC
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CHI
3 - 1
AFC
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
2 - 0
AMA
54%
26%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SMI
0 - 1
ARA
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
TAU
2 - 1
ARA
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
TAU
0 - 0
ARA
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |