Alianza FC vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
41.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 1
AFC
51%
27%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 1
SFF
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
COS
3 - 0
AFC
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 1
SMI
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
OES
0 - 0
AFC
19%
24%
57%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 2
ARA
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 1
AMA
54%
27%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
SFF
1 - 1
ARA
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ARA
2 - 0
COS
61%
24%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
LAF
2 - 2
ARA
5%
12%
83%
|
67 | 14 | 53 | 0 |