Alianza FC vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GEM
2 - 2
AFC
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
TAU
1 - 1
AFC
65%
23%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHO
38%
28%
35%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 0
AFC
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
AFC
0 - 0
AMA
39%
28%
32%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
ARA
2 - 1
DAL
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
DAL
4 - 0
ARA
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ARA
3 - 5
TAU
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 0
ARA
31%
29%
40%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
ARA
4 - 0
NAC
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |