Alianza FC vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
42.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
AFC
0 - 3
AMA
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SFF
2 - 1
AFC
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 1
CHE
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
AFC
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 1
AFC
56%
25%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 0
ARA
35%
30%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 1
TAU
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
MON
1 - 2
ARA
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 2
ARA
21%
29%
50%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
SMI
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |