Alianza FC vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
AMA
0 - 1
AFC
49%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 0
AFC
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
SMI
0 - 0
AFC
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 0
CHE
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AMA
0 - 0
AFC
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
SFF
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SFF
2 - 1
ARA
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
SFF
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 2
RIO
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
TAU
0 - 0
ARA
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |