Alianza FC vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
41.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TAU
1 - 0
AFC
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 2
SFF
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
AFC
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 0
AFC
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 2
TAU
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 0
SFF
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 2
ARA
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
CHE
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 4
ARA
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
AMA
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |