Alianza Cutral Có vs Dep. Roca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Cutral Có
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ALI
6 - 2
CIR
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 1
ALI
27%
23%
50%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ALI
3 - 0
ATL
15%
22%
63%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
EST
4 - 2
ALI
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 0
INN
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
DRO
7 - 1
PET
78%
14%
7%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CIR
2 - 5
DRO
15%
23%
63%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
DRO
3 - 2
BEL
80%
14%
7%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
DRO
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
DRO
2 - 1
EST
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | +1 |