A.Cristiana vs Defensor San Alejandro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
35.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A.Cristiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
ACR
0 - 3
ATL
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SBO
2 - 1
ACR
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ACR
1 - 4
LOS
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LOS
2 - 1
ACR
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ACR
0 - 0
UTC
41%
24%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor San Alejandro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 5
SBO
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
LOS
1 - 0
DEF
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 0
LOS
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ALF
4 - 1
DEF
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 0
ACR
50%
23%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |