A.Cristiana vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
43.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A.Cristiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 1
ACR
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ACR
1 - 1
DEF
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ACR
0 - 3
ATL
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SBO
2 - 1
ACR
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ACR
1 - 4
LOS
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
AUN
1 - 1
SBO
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
LOS
3 - 0
AUN
43%
29%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
AUN
1 - 0
LOS
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 1
AUN
27%
28%
46%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AUN
3 - 3
WAL
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |