Olancho FC vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
6º
2º
13
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olancho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ALI
4 - 1
JAG
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
MOT
0 - 1
ALI
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ALI
3 - 1
VID
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
VIC
1 - 0
ALI
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 2
MAR
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HNP
1 - 3
RES
18%
25%
57%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
RSO
3 - 2
HNP
31%
23%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HNP
0 - 2
JAG
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
HNP
0 - 1
OLI
21%
26%
54%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VID
1 - 2
HNP
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |