Olancho FC vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
10º
8º
17
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 33 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
17 | 31 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 30 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 29 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 24 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 21 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
8 | 20 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 19 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 11 |
10º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 58% |
|
Next round
|
30% | 41% |
|
Mid-table
|
70% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olancho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RSO
0 - 0
ALI
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 1
RES
39%
29%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
ALI
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 1
JUT
51%
28%
22%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
CDG
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 36 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
MOT
48%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MOT
3 - 1
RSO
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RES
1 - 0
MOT
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MOT
4 - 2
JAG
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MOT
3 - 4
OLI
45%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |