Olancho FC vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
8º
4º
35
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olancho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
VID
2 - 1
ALI
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 0
CDG
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 23 | 50 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 0
ALI
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
JAG
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIC
0 - 1
ALI
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
VIC
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RES
3 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 1
RSO
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
MOT
2 - 0
MAR
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
7 - 0
VID
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |