Olancho FC vs CD Génesis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+184%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
10º
6º
5
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 36 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 31 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 29 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 27 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 26 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 22 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 22 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 22 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 20 |
9º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 13 |
10º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
33.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
65% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olancho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
MOT
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RSO
0 - 0
ALI
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 1
RES
39%
29%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
ALI
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 1
JUT
51%
28%
22%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CD Génesis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 1
RSO
19%
23%
59%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RES
1 - 0
CDG
71%
19%
10%
|
39 | 73 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CDG
3 - 0
JAG
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 2
CDG
71%
19%
10%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 3
OLI
18%
26%
56%
|
36 | 73 | 37 | 0 |