Olancho FC vs CD Génesis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+112%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
10º
5º
21
6º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olancho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
MOT
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RSO
0 - 0
ALI
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 1
RES
39%
29%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
ALI
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 1
JUT
51%
28%
22%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CD Génesis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 1
RSO
19%
23%
59%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RES
1 - 0
CDG
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 74 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CDG
3 - 0
JAG
17%
22%
61%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | +3 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 2
CDG
71%
19%
10%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 3
OLI
18%
26%
56%
|
38 | 74 | 36 | 0 |