Olancho FC vs CD Génesis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+153%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
8º
4º
27
5º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olancho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 0
ALI
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
JAG
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIC
0 - 1
ALI
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 1
RES
49%
24%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 1
RSO
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Génesis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 0
VID
14%
20%
66%
|
23 | 66 | 43 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
RSO
1 - 2
CDG
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 65 | 43 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 1
MOT
16%
24%
61%
|
22 | 74 | 52 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
CDG
75%
17%
8%
|
22 | 74 | 52 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIC
1 - 1
CDG
77%
16%
8%
|
21 | 63 | 42 | +1 |