Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Willy Serrato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 2
ALI
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALF
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 0
HUA
28%
26%
47%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
AUR
0 - 1
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 1
UNI
26%
23%
50%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 1
ALF
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
HUA
6 - 2
WIL
74%
17%
10%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 4
AUR
22%
23%
55%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 2
UNI
23%
22%
55%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 0
WIL
82%
12%
6%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | -1 |