Alianza Atl. Sullana vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 2
MUN
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 1
ALI
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 1
CAN
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
SBO
3 - 1
ALI
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 3
ALI
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
UTC
2 - 1
SBO
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
UTC
4 - 0
SAM
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 0
UTC
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
UTC
1 - 1
SBO
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 0
UTC
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |