Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
AYA
2 - 0
ALI
27%
26%
48%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
2 - 2
ADT
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
BIN
2 - 0
ALI
42%
25%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 0
CIE
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MUN
0 - 1
ALI
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 0
AGP
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SBO
0 - 1
UNI
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 2
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
AYA
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ADT
1 - 1
UNI
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |