Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 0
COM
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
UTC
4 - 0
ALI
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 0
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 3
SAM
48%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
AYA
5 - 2
ALI
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
4 - 2
AYA
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
UTC
1 - 1
UNI
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 0
UNI
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
HUA
46%
28%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
UNI
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |