Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
31.8%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
ALI
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 2
COB
30%
29%
41%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
AYA
1 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
ALI
3 - 1
CIE
35%
27%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 0
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
GOD
1 - 1
UNI
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SBO
2 - 0
UNI
36%
31%
33%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
ANZ
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 3
MEL
64%
23%
14%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |