Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 0
ALI
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
ALI
3 - 0
GAL
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
SBO
0 - 1
ALI
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 3
VAL
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ALI
0 - 1
ALI
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 1
ATL
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
BOL
1 - 1
UNI
47%
28%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 0
SPC
55%
25%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
CIE
4 - 1
UNI
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 0
SPO
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |