Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
41.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 1
MEL
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
HUA
3 - 0
ALI
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 0
LEO
28%
27%
44%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
4 - 0
ALI
72%
19%
9%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 1
CNI
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
GAR
2 - 1
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 0
VAL
39%
28%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 0
AYA
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 0
SAM
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 2
VAL
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |