Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
AYA
1 - 2
ALI
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 1
CAN
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 1
ALI
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 3
SRP
28%
29%
43%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
SPC
4 - 1
ALI
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
COM
2 - 1
SAM
43%
26%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
COM
0 - 2
AYA
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 0
COM
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SRP
0 - 0
COM
67%
22%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
COM
1 - 2
MEL
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -2 |