Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Total Chalaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
CNI
0 - 1
ALI
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
ALI
0 - 0
AUR
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 1
ALI
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
ALI
3 - 1
HUA
34%
29%
38%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 0
ALI
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Total Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 1
AYA
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
TOT
2 - 3
VAL
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
SPC
0 - 1
TOT
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 1
UNI
49%
27%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
GAL
2 - 1
TOT
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |