Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
57.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 2
ALI
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 0
HUA
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
4 - 1
AGP
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
SBO
2 - 0
ALI
40%
26%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
2 - 2
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 2
AGP
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SBO
3 - 5
SPC
16%
23%
62%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPC
0 - 0
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
AYA
0 - 1
SPC
13%
21%
67%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
SPC
4 - 2
ADT
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |